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Grafici point and figure e grafici three line break

point_figure_smallGrafico point and figure

Il grafico point and figure tiene in considerazione solo il prezzo e l’andamento della giornata, mentre il fattore tempo non assume un’importanza fondamentale e non ha alcun valore previsionale. La metodologia di rappresentazione in oggetto è un sistema di rilevazione di tendenza ed elimina alcuni movimenti che potrebbero costituire la componente erratica dell’andamento dei prezzi.

Il grafico point and figure è strutturato come un istogramma in cui si alternano colonne di croci (x) e di cerchietti (o). Le prime individuano i movimenti al rialzo, o un livello in cui la domanda è superiore all’offerta, mentre le seconde individuano i movimenti al ribasso, o un livello in cui l’offerta supera la domanda.

grafico_point_figure

Un esempio di grafico point and figure

L’analista deve compiere delle scelte preventive legate alla dimensione del box (box size) e all’ampiezza della correzione della tendenza prima di decidere di modificare la tendenza (box reversal). Il primo rappresenta la dimensione minima dello spostamento dei prezzi necessaria per la rilevazione sul grafico mentre la seconda rappresenta il numero di sedute di carattere opposto accettate prima di cambiare colonna.
In pratica in una tendenza al rialzo si valuta, considerando l’ampiezza del box size, se la variazione del prezzo permette di tracciare o meno una x.  Viceversa si fa in una tendenza al ribasso.
Se invece, sempre in una tendenza al rialzo, si è verificato un ribasso bisogna valutare se la variazione del prezzo fornisce spazio per applicare un reversal. Se così fosse si passa alla colonna successiva e si iniziano a tracciare i o. Anche in questo esempio, viceversa si fa in una tendenza al ribasso.

Grafico three line break
Il grafico three line break è un modo di rappresentazione grafica formato da box rettangoli di diversa forma e tipologia. Simile al point and figure, anch’esso non valuta il fattore tempo. In pratica, se il prezzo di chiusura è maggiore del precedente massimo verrà disegnata una colonna bianca (o verde), se invece il prezzo di chiusura è inferiore verrà disegnata una colonna nera (o rossa).

grafico_three_line_break

Un esempio di grafico three line break

Si chiama “three line break” perchè tre linee di uno stesso colore danno un’indicazione di operatività: c’è un segnale “buy” (di acquisto) alla prima colonna bianca dopo tre colonne nere consecutive, e un segnale “sell” (di vendita) alla prima colonna nera dopo tre colonne bianche consecutive. Nulla si deve fare se c’è alternanza di colonne.
I suoi limiti risiedono nel fatto che il segnale (di acquisto o vendita) potrebbe arrivare in ritardo. Ma ciò potrebbe rappresentare un fattore di forza nei mercati in trend.


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